Will the US strike Syria next?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$168K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Feb 24, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Feb 28, 2026
Biggest move: -41.5pp
49% → 8%
Feb 24, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the US strike Syria next?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $168K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the US strike Syria next?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1422369
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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