Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York Yankees
Closes April 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$595
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.90pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York Yankees" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York Yankees." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844642
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Athletics vs. New York Yankees: 100%, there be a run scored in the first inning?: A: 1%, Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 1.5: 0%.
there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics v
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
25% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: -16.8pp
18% → 1%
Apr 9, 2026
Current
1% YES (-16.8pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this