Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
Market Price
FM Estimate
1%This prediction market is significant due to the extremely low 1% probability assigned to a Trump-Putin meeting in a Gulf country, starkly contrasting with the 100% certainty priced into a market about Trump mentioning "Qatar" in an address. The VIX's decline and oil's drop suggest a reduced global risk appetite, further diminishing the likelihood of a high-profile geopolitical meeting.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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5 deadline markets. Market implies ~5% chance none resolve YES.
Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $818 has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.70pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/618501