Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (April 12)
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (April 12)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (April 12)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847741
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
90% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +9.5pp
91% → 100%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
100% YES (+9.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this