Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Market Price
FM Estimate
1%Tulsi Gabbard's 2028 US Presidential Election win probability remains negligible at 1% on Polymarket, reflecting a sustained lack of market conviction. This price has held steady, indicating no recent news or shifts in broader market sentiment, such as the S&P 500 futures' upward move or the VIX's decline, have meaningfully altered expectations for her candidacy. The market intelligence suggests traders anticipate no significant advancement in Gabbard's presidential prospects.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
✦ Unlock with ProWikipedia Attention
38 deadline markets. Combined YES = 102% — 2pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $62K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on November 7, 2028.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/561242