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Markets/Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Market Price

1%YES
99%NO

FM Estimate

1%
Vol 24h$62K
Liquidity$716K
Bid / Ask1% / 1%
Spread0.10pp
ClosesNov 7, 2028
Why this mattersAI-synthesized

Tulsi Gabbard's 2028 US Presidential Election win probability remains negligible at 1% on Polymarket, reflecting a sustained lack of market conviction. This price has held steady, indicating no recent news or shifts in broader market sentiment, such as the S&P 500 futures' upward move or the VIX's decline, have meaningfully altered expectations for her candidacy. The market intelligence suggests traders anticipate no significant advancement in Gabbard's presidential prospects.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets38 markets

38 deadline markets. Combined YES = 102% — 2pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

JD Vance

JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election

20%
Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election

17%

Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election

1%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.1pp
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarketanchor
PredictIt

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $62K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on November 7, 2028.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/561242