Markets/Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES

72%NO

Volume 24h

$335

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

27% / 30%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-30.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

57% YES

Feb 25, 2026

Trough probability

27% YES — lowest in period

Mar 6, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Feb 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Feb 27, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Mar 1, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Mar 2, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

55%

Mar 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Mar 4, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

27%

Mar 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 12, 2026

Biggest move: -31.5pp

58% → 27%

Mar 6, 2026

Peak probability

68% YES — highest in period

Feb 25, 2026

Current

28% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 18, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 28%99%

Buy YES@ 28¢

-1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 72¢

Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.8%

½ Kelly0.9%

Buy NO—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $335 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/694938