Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Closes March 22, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$29K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
1%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Mar 13, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $29K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1193231
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