ForecastMind
Markets/Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Share on X

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Closes May 26, 2026

Cross-venue entity

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$109K

Expert Signal

1%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-1.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

2% YES

Feb 28, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 18, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on May 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/562190