Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$30K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/667078
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?: 79%, June 30, 2026: 4%, Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE : 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~5%.
Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this