ForecastMind
Markets/Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?
Share on X

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$96K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

2% / 3%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-4.8pp
confidence50%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $96K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/667077

Topic Intelligence

Cross-Venue Intelligence5 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket2%anchor
Kalshi
Kalshi1%-1.1pp
Kalshi
Kalshi
Weighted Consensus1%±1.1pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this