Wizards vs. Heat
Closes April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$495K
Liquidity
$442K
Bid / Ask
5% / 6%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Heat" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $495K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Wizards vs. Heat." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1776272
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5: 51%, Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5: 48%, Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 247.5: 48%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+9.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this