ForecastMind
Markets/Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5
Share on X

Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES
59%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

40% / 42%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

41%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1853750

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5: 51%, Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5: 48%, Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 247.5: 48%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-4.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 41%99%
Buy YES@ 41¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 59¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this