Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Wizards vs. Lakers
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.3M
Liquidity
$121K
Bid / Ask
13% / 14%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Lakers" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Wizards vs. Lakers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1704254
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline: 43%, Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5: 40%, Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5: 40%.
The Full Picture
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Trough probability
8% YES — lowest in period
Mar 28, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
25%
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: -26.0pp
50% → 24%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
9% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this