ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5
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Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

27%YES
73%NO

Volume 24h

$75K

Liquidity

$36K

Bid / Ask

16% / 19%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

27%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $75K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 27%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1785189

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline: 43%, Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5: 40%, Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5: 40%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

51% YES (+2.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 27%99%
Buy YES@ 27¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 73¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this