Markets/Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Data as of Apr 13, 2026, 07:48 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score

Low confidence · 2 signals

8%FIS

Markets appear correctly priced driven by USA very_negative CVL → -1.0pp avg (n=74) (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

HistoryUSA very_negative CVL → -1.0pp avg (n=74) [recent event]

-1.0pp

MacroUSD/CNY +0.089 ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑, Oil -1.1% ↓

+1.1pp

Live compute07:48 AM

Polymarket Price

8%YES

92%NO

Volume 24h

$27K

Liquidity

$135K

Bid / Ask

8% / 8%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Xi Jinping out before 2027?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Xi Jinping out before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/559651

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: 8%, Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~92%.