Markets/Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Data as of Apr 14, 2026, 06:46 PM UTC

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES

98%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$72K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+11.1pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Xi Jinping out by June 30?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Xi Jinping out by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/956370

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. June 30: 17%, June 30: 6%, June 30: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~76%.