SpaceX & NASA
Starship launches, lunar missions, and commercial spaceflight milestones.
Space exploration prediction markets track Starship flight milestones, NASA Artemis lunar landings, and commercial spaceflight records. Metaculus hosts some of the most detailed long-range space forecasts, often diverging from Polymarket on technical milestone timelines.
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SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
YES 42%NO 59%
Vol $1KEnds 12/31/2026
crypto
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
YES 100%NO 0%
Vol $490KEnds 1/1/2027
crypto
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
YES 0%NO 100%
Vol $361KEnds 1/1/2027
crypto
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
YES 0%NO 100%
Vol $295KEnds 1/1/2027
politics
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
YES 75%NO 26%
Vol $263KEnds 3/31/2026
crypto
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
YES 11%NO 89%
Vol $223KEnds 6/30/2026
crypto
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
YES 100%NO 0%
Vol $207KEnds 4/1/2026
crypto
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?
YES 0%NO 100%
Vol $201KEnds 1/1/2027