ForecastMind

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

2027

Consensus Probability

3%
Weak5%
Polymarket3% avg · 24 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?2%$14Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?1%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?45%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?5%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?10%$900standalone
PolymarketWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?3%$804standalone
PolymarketWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?1%$787standalone
PolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?0%$700standalone
PolymarketWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?1%$597standalone
PolymarketWill no listed leader be out before 2027?2%$499standalone
PolymarketWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?1%$479standalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?2%$473standalone
PolymarketWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?1%$458standalone
PolymarketWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?0%$381standalone
PolymarketWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?1%$370standalone
PolymarketWill Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?1%$367standalone
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?1%$363standalone
PolymarketWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?1%$362standalone
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?1%$358standalone
PolymarketWill Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?1%$358standalone
PolymarketWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?1%$358standalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?2%$283standalone
PolymarketWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?1%$257standalone
PolymarketWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?2%$226standalone
← Back to Event Intelligence