Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Consensus Probability
44%
Weak14%
Polymarket23% avg · 11 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 83% | $213K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 43% | $153K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 97% | $114K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 9% | $72K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 0% | $65K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | 3% | $62K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 1% | $58K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | 0% | $44K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? | 0% | $35K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 16% | $11K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | 0% | $245 | standalone |