ForecastMind

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential…

2026

Consensus Probability

8%
Weak5%
Polymarket4% avg · 19 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?16%$6Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?5%$6Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?40%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?5%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$877standalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$860standalone
PolymarketWill Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$857standalone
PolymarketWill José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$836standalone
PolymarketWill Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$826standalone
PolymarketWill George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$762standalone
PolymarketWill Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$663standalone