Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state…
2026
Consensus Probability
8%
Weak5%
Polymarket11% avg · 8 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 9% | $17K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 9% | $14K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | 0% | $8K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 11% | $698 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 0% | $530 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 0% | $479 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 55% | $397 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 0% | $234 | standalone |