PolymarketManifold
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
2 venues tracked
34
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Trump visits China by March 31?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap30/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events4/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score34/100
Related Markets
Canonical ID: 4f7a19ea-b2f4-4bb8-8287-2bb641843b6b
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.