PolymarketManifold
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
2 venues tracked-7pp in 24h
18
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will Trump visit China during his term?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events4/15
Price Momentum14/15
Total Intel Score18/100
Related Markets
Canonical ID: 7267a8ea-0f12-41e1-a577-d21c945b3996
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.