PolymarketKalshi
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
2 venues tracked
36
✦
AI Analysis
Get an AI-synthesized briefing combining venue probabilities, breaking news, and related market signals into a neutral analyst perspective.
Cross-Venue Intelligence
VenueYES %vs Poly
Kalshi
Will Reform win the next U.K. election?
40%
–
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap30/30
Multi-venue6/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score36/100
Related Events
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Latest News Impact
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Canonical ID: bb3d19b3-9b5b-4cc4-b79d-73bc73dfe95b
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.