PolymarketManifold
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
2 venues tracked-4pp in 24h
44
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Trump visits China before May 1, 2026?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap30/30
Multi-venue6/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum8/15
Total Intel Score44/100
Canonical ID: ea9c84d5-c1e4-4345-8983-d3a5368036d9
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.