Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
FM Estimate
43%Market Price
46%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 4 active outcome markets. the Indian National Congress (INC): 46%, the Indian National Congress (INC): 2%, the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML): 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~52%.
Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in th
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $182 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1004372