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This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 4 active outcome markets. the Indian National Congress (INC): 46%, the Indian National Congress (INC): 2%, the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML): 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~52%.
Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1004374