Will Nicolás Jarry be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Closes July 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$25K
Bid / Ask
0% / 0%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Nicolás Jarry be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on July 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will Nicolás Jarry be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087928
This event has 39 active outcome markets. Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon: 35%, Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon: 35%, Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon: 6%.
Nicolás Jarry be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this