Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Closes July 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$352
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
14% / 18%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
16%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2026
47 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $352 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1088107
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