Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Closes July 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$102K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
15% / 16%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
16%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2026
47 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Mar 10, 2026
Biggest move: +9.7pp
2% → 12%
Mar 23, 2026
Peak probability
19% YES — highest in period
Mar 24, 2026
Current
16% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $102K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on July 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1088120
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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