ForecastMind
Markets/Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?
Share on X

Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?

Market Price

3%YES

FM Estimate

2%
NO97%
Vol 24h$11
Liquidity$19K
Bid / Ask3% / 4%
Spread0.50pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026
Historical patterns-1.0pp
Macro fundamentals-1.2pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets13 markets

This event has 13 active outcome markets. the Democratic Party: 95%, the Republican Party: 85%, the Democratic Party: 74%.

Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?
95%
Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
85%
Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
74%
Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party wi
44%
Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
18%
Democratic party win the House, the Republican party wi
16%
Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?
14%
Democratic party win the House, the Republican party wi
11%

Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?

3%
Republican party win the House, the Democratic party wi
3%
Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party wi
3%
Republican party win the House, the Democratic party wi
3%
Republican party win the House, the Republican party wi
2%

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1283184