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Markets/Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
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Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

26%YES
74%NO
Vol 24h$292
Liquidity$24K
Bid / Ask25% / 27%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesMay 26, 2026

FM Estimate

26%

Market Price

26%
Aligned
Macro fundamentals+1.6pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX: 75%, Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for T: 26%, Zeeshan Hafeez be the Democratic nominee for : 0%.

Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
75%

Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

26%
Zeeshan Hafeez be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
0%
Carlos Quintanilla be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
0%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $292 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on May 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1335410