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Markets/Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
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Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

75%YES
25%NO
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$20K
Bid / Ask74% / 76%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesMay 26, 2026

FM Estimate

76%

Market Price

75%
↓ Underpriced 0.8pp
Macro fundamentals+3.1pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX: 75%, Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for T: 26%, Zeeshan Hafeez be the Democratic nominee for : 0%.

Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

75%
Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
26%
Zeeshan Hafeez be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
0%
Carlos Quintanilla be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
0%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

No historical data yet
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket75%anchor
PredictIt——

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 75%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on May 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1335411