Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Closes September 20, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$416
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
84% / 86%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
85%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026…
2026
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $416 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on September 20, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1364103
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