Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5
Closes March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
78% / 80%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
79%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
79% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Current
79% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5" at 79% YES / 21% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 79%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 79%, NO 21%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1448339
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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