Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
Closes March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
25% / 27%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
26%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 26%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1704836
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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