Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$430
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
62% / 63%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
63%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5" at 63% YES / 37% NO. In the last 24 hours, $430 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 63%, NO 37%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515632
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5: 83%, Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5: 63%, Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5: 53%.
Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this