ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Sabres vs. Senators
Share on X

Sabres vs. Senators

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

16%YES
85%NO

Volume 24h

$588K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

10% / 12%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Sabres vs. Senators" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $588K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Sabres vs. Senators." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515646

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5: 52%, Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 6.5: 48%, Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 7.5: 24%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

50% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 16%99%
Buy YES@ 16¢
Edge

+3.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 85¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+3.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this