Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5
Closed April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
53% / 54%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
54%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515647
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5: 83%, Sabres vs. Senators: 49%, Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 5.5: 26%.
Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
82% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -27.5pp
81% → 54%
Apr 3, 2026
Current
54% YES (-27.5pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this