ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Canadiens vs. Rangers
Share on X

Canadiens vs. Rangers

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

96%YES
5%NO

Volume 24h

$831K

Liquidity

$25K

Bid / Ask

85% / 87%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Canadiens vs. Rangers" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $831K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Canadiens vs. Rangers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515651

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Canadiens vs. Rangers: 96%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5: 41%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5: 26%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+38.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: +39.0pp

53% → 92%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

92% YES (+39.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 96%99%
Buy YES@ 96¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly11.1%
½ Kelly5.6%
Buy NO@ 5¢

-11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 11.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this