ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5
Share on X

Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$611

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

80% / 82%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

81%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $611 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 81%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515652

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5: 59%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5: 54%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: 54%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this