Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$713
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
51% / 62%
Spread
11.00pp
Expert Signal
56%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026…
2026
50 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $713 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 11.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1562259
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