Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
12% / 14%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National…
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1570164
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