Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Hurricanes vs. Utah
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$13K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hurricanes vs. Utah" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Hurricanes vs. Utah." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598503
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Hurricanes vs. Utah: 99%, Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5: 42%, Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5: 22%.
Hurricanes vs. Utah
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
45% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
80%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +33.0pp
47% → 80%
Apr 11, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 12, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this