ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
Share on X

Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 6.5

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

25%YES
76%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

21% / 47%

Spread

26.00pp

Expert Signal

25%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 6.5" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 26.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598506

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Hurricanes vs. Utah: 84%, Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5: 76%, Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5: 45%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Current

52% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 25%99%
Buy YES@ 25¢
Edge

+2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 76¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this