Lakers vs. Pacers
Closes March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$280K
Liquidity
$278K
Bid / Ask
81% / 82%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
82%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Lakers vs. Pacers
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Mar 19, 2026
Biggest move: +23.0pp
50% → 73%
Mar 19, 2026
Peak probability
90% YES — highest in period
Mar 20, 2026
Current
83% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-3.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Pacers" at 84% YES / 16% NO. In the last 24 hours, $280K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Lakers vs. Pacers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 84%, NO 16%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1651041
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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