ForecastMind
Markets/Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5
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Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

46%YES
54%NO

Volume 24h

$50K

Liquidity

$59K

Bid / Ask

46% / 47%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Lakers vs. Pacers

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

46% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 46%99%
Buy YES@ 46¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 54¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $50K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711273