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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 26?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 26?

Closes March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$168K

Liquidity

$77K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+6.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

94% YES

Mar 19, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Mar 25, 2026

Current

100% YES (-0.4pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 26?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $168K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1652063