Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$268
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
3% / 8%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential…
2026
24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $268 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1656084
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