Markets/LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 08:39 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

17%YES

84%NO

Volume 24h

$402K

Liquidity

$44K

Expert Signal

17%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Full event →

LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC G

100%

LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winn

100%

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - L

17%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-5.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 17%99%

Buy YES@ 17¢

Edge

+3.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 84¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+3.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $402K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659893

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.